We will see processors manufactured at 5nm in late 2020
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Apple is known for debuting every new manufacturing process, and helping the industry eliminate small mistakes with its early adoption of a new manufacturing process. Apple was once again TSMC's first and largest customer at 7nm, and will continue to be so with the arrival of 5nm in late 2020.
Apple to launch first smartphone with 5nm processor in late 2020
5nm phones are expected by the end of 2020 and even Apple can't do it in 2019, it's too soon. It seems that the industry will live with two generations of 7nm before we go down to 5nm, something that will not facilitate the improvement of performance from generation to generation. This is the time for companies to innovate with smart architecture and shapes, how to save energy and further optimize performance and array area.
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Apple could be the first again in September 2020 if everything goes as planned. Huawei shouldn't be far, and Qualcomm is expected to announce the 5nm chip in late 2020 and ship in early 2021. ARM has already revealed its Hercules client CPU processor that can be manufactured in 7 and 5nm, slated to 2020, and that gives an idea of what Huawei, Qualcomm and MediaTek will have in the same period of time. Apple uses the ARM architecture, but makes significant changes to the core.
7nm still has a lot to offer and we'll see a lot of great products, especially on the mobile market before moving on to 5nm. Reducing the transistors and making billions of them work synchronously is a very difficult job. This is why reports and investigations like this should always be taken with a grain of salt, as this is the current plan and will be up to TSMC, and its risky production plan in 2019.
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